Introduction, probabilistic vs deterministic design of structures. Basic notions on probabilities. Central limit theorem. Distributions. Estimation of parameters. Maximum likelihood. Transformations. Regression analysis. Return period. Monte Carlo simulation (independent and correlated variables). Probabilistic models of resistances. Probabilistic models of actions (wind, snow, earthquake, self-weight). Combination of actions. Time varying actions, fatigue. Stochastic processes. Probability of failure, Level II method. Safety index. Reliability of serial and parallel systems. Bayes theorem, updating prior information reliability of existing structures. Code format, partial safety factors. Probabilistic design of special structures. Conformity criteria.
- Teacher: Κωνσταντινος Τρεζος